Betting Line on Bodog (1/26/10 at 8:30 pm): Colts -6
All I have been hearing the past two weeks is how great the Colts defense has become. A once missing piece to a dynamic Colt’s team now supposedly exists according to the majority of the public. However, what everyone fails to realize is that the past two weeks the Colts have been studying film on the Jets and the Ravens, two “run-first” teams with mediocre quarterbacks. This week the Colts defense encounters the number one offense in the NFL that not only can throw it deep but have three very talented running backs that can juke you out of your shoes or run you over. Too many offensive weapons make giving the Saints six points an easy wager.
The only thing in question about the Saints is their defense anchored by veteran Darren Sharper. This season the Saints defense has only allowed an average of 19.1 points in 9 games, including the playoffs, against teams that finished the season .500 or better. In those nine games, the saints scored an average 34.4 points per game. Compare that with the Colts only scoring 25.7 points against teams finishing .500 or better in 13 games, including the playoffs. Don’t get me wrong the Colts can score the ball as seen in the game against the number one Jet’s defense last week. However, the best defense is a potent offense.
The Jets defense gave the sometimes inconsistent Saints defensive end Will Smith and linebackers Scott Fujita and Jonathan Vilma obvious proof that Peyton Manning, although barely ever sacked in the regular season, is vulnerable to blitz packages when placed in third and long situations as he was sacked twice and pressured many other instances. The Jets defense was on the field way too long and eventually tired out in the last thirty-two minutes of the game. If the Saints score the ball like I know they can and Drew Brees pumps up the defense too shut down the Colts offense like they shut down the Patriots in week 12, there is no doubt that the Colts won’t cover the six points.
Saints +6 ($500)
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